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The Myth that Ending Lockdown promotes Herd Immunity:
Climate science denial meets COVID-19 denial

Herd immunity against COVID-19 is likely not achievable without a vaccine

People will not want to go to the bar, restaurant, cinema, shop or office.
And especially when others won't wear a Mask Most of the economic damage caused by a virus is driven by people voluntarily changing their behaviour.

 

It was reported that the “think tank” behind the
Great Barrington Declaration
is a climate science denialist organization funded in part by the Koch brothers:

  ( published in "Nature" )
HYBRID IMMUNITY to COVID is more protective than
"Previous Infection" immunity alone to Omicron COVID
HYBRID Immunity( previous infection + vaccination) gives you 97% immunity from Severe disease and hospitalization. And 41% immunity from reinfection. Much more than the 74% & 24% from infection alone.
Effectiveness of __________ against:
PREVIOUS INFECTION only HYBRID IMMUNITY  
74%  97% Severe Disease & Hospitalization
24% 41% Reinfection

from the C-SPAN Hearing on COVID-19 Vaccines and Pandemic Immunity 1:00:15 to 1:06:00

ATLAS DOGMA Trump Administration’s Embrace of a Dangerous and Discredited Herd Immunity via Mass Infection Strategy

On 3 October 2020, the American Institute for Economic Research (AIER), a libertarian free-market think-tank in Great Barrington, Massachusetts, hosted a private gathering of scientists, economists and journalists to discuss responses to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Among them was the "distinguished" Oxford University epidemiologist Professor Sunetra Gupta, among the most vocal proponents of a
‘herd immunity’ strategy.

The Great Barrington Declaration, after the town in which it was created, was drafted by Gupta with two other top US scientists, Professor Martin Kulldorff of Harvard University and Stanford Fellow Jay Bhattacharya.

The Declaration itself – which calls for only the elderly and vulnerable to be quarantined while encouraging young people to contract the virus – was signed by an initial batch of some 35 scientists.

There’s big money behind it too:

Indeed the AIER is not just a free-market think-tank. It receives a large bulk of its funding from its own investment activities, not least in fossil fuels, energy utilities, tobacco, technology and consumer goods. AIER owns a major investment firm, American Investment Services Inc., which harnesses the think-tank’s research to help inform investment advice.
Security Exchange Commission filings seen by Byline Times confirm that AIER’s American Investment Services Inc. runs a private fund valued at $284,492,000.

One possible interpretation is that Drs. Gupta, Bhattacharya, and Kulldorff are politically very naďve (or, as I’d call them, useful idiots for AIER), which, I suppose, is possible.

Many scientists are pretty clueless about the political ramifications of what they do and can be duped by ideological groups.
However, I tend to doubt that they’re 
that naďve.
Instead, I believe that these scientists are likely being disingenuous and know exactly what they are doing.
They almost certainly believe that they are doing good, but they are also very likely ideologically aligned with AIER, leading them to genuinely believe that the FP approach is the best balance between harm due to public health interventions and harm and death due to COVID-19.

My interpretation is that, whether they realize it or not, this trio is providing “scientific cover” and a “scientists divided” narrative to cast doubt on the science.

There have been denialists since tobacco companies first started casting doubt on science.

Indeed, the fact that the trio behind the document have met with 

  • White House coronavirus advisor Scott Atlas,
  • Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar, and
  • Florida Governor Ron DeSantis,

all of whom advocate for immediate “reopening” of business and against maintaining strong public health interventions against COVID-19.

Not coincidentally, their preferred approach is much more in line with the approach advocated in the
Great Barrington Declaration, strongly suggesting that these scientists are likely to be motivated as much by ideology as their interpretation of COVID-19 public health science.

So does Dr. Bhattacharya’s recent claims that he’s being “censored” and “silenced.” (As an aside, that first link was an interview with ZDoggMD, which disappoints me.)

  The "scientists" behind this
  1. Oxford professor Sunetra Gupta,
  2. Stanford physician Dr. Jay Bhattacharya (whose research interest is the economics of health care, not epidemiology), and
  3. Harvard professor Dr. Martin Kulldorff (who is a biostatistician, not an epidemiologist)

stated in an accompanying video that their declaration should
“sit outside politics.”
I had to laugh at that given that they were supported by AIER and launched their Declaration at an event hosted by the group, given that AIER is anything 
but apolitical.


Martin Kulldorff of Harvard Medical School, Sunetra Gupta of the University of Oxford and Jay Bhattacharya of Stanford University at the American Institute for Economic Research in Great Barrington.


Whether you want to call it the “magnified minority,” as John Cook does, or something else, to me the Great Barrington Declaration represents a variation on decades-old astroturf techniques.
Just as those behind astroturf campaigns seek to disguise their campaigns as organically arising from grassroots efforts and activism, this form of astroturf seeks to cloak the agenda of business or ideological groups in the disguise of science by portraying their agenda as organically arising from the science, using scientists ideologically sympathetic or aligned with them to spearhead their message and then gathering as many signatures as they can from scientists and doctors, regardless of whether they have actual expertise in the relevant sciences.

It’s something that’s been going on for decades, which makes it unsurprising that it’s found its way into COVID-19 denial and provided fodder for Fox News and others to argue against various COVID-19 mitigation strategies.

 SOURCE  Science Based Medicine